Macro Risk Indicator
Current Risk Level
0
Minimal Risk
Minimal Risk
50
Moderate
Moderate
100
Extreme Risk
Extreme Risk
Last updated: Nov 10, 2026
Risk Factor Breakdown
Earnings Seasons
Quarterly reporting periods
Quarterly reporting periods
12.0
US Market Holidays
VIX levels & sentiment
VIX levels & sentiment
47.2
Economic Data Releases
CPI, Jobs, GDP releases
CPI, Jobs, GDP releases
100.0
Federal Reserve (FOMC)
FOMC meetings & rate decisions
FOMC meetings & rate decisions
0.0
Market Volatility (VIX)
VIX levels & sentiment
VIX levels & sentiment
45.0
Trading Recommendation
⚡ MODERATE RISK: Trade with normal caution. Some volatility possible.
📉 Economic data day: Expect volatility at 8:30 AM ET around PCE, CPI, Jobs, GDP, and durable goods releases. Size down until after the print.
30-Day Risk History
Upcoming High-Impact Events (Next 30 Days)
| Date | Event | Type | Impact | Days Until |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, Tue |
CPI MoM
Scheduled 08:30 AM ET
|
Economic Data Release | Level 5 | TODAY |
| Nov 11, Wed |
Veterans Day - Reduced Participation
Market open but expect LOW VOLUME and REDUCED PARTICIPATION. Many traders take the day off. Higher risk of unpredictable moves and wider spreads.
|
Holiday Proximity | Level 5 | Tomorrow |
| Nov 12, Thu |
Existing Home Sales MoM
Scheduled 10:00 AM ET
|
Economic Data Release | Level 4 | 2d |
| Nov 13, Fri |
PPI MoM
Scheduled 08:30 AM ET
|
Economic Data Release | Level 4 | 3d |
| Nov 13, Fri |
CPI MoM
Scheduled 08:30 AM ET
|
Economic Data Release | Level 5 | 3d |
| Nov 17, Tue |
NVIDIA (NVDA) Earnings
Mega-cap earnings report (after hours). NVIDIA is a major index / sector mover.
|
Earnings Season | Level 5 | 7d |
| Nov 17, Tue |
Retail Sales MoM
Scheduled 08:30 AM ET
|
Economic Data Release | Level 4 | 7d |
| Nov 20, Fri |
U-Michigan Consumer Sentiment
Scheduled 10:00 AM ET
|
Economic Data Release | Level 4 | 10d |
| Nov 25, Wed |
Day Before Thanksgiving
Bridge day with typically lower volume and participation. Many traders extend their holiday. Use caution with position sizing.
|
Holiday Proximity | Level 3 | 15d |
| Nov 25, Wed |
Durable Goods Orders MoM
Scheduled 08:30 AM ET
|
Economic Data Release | Level 4 | 15d |
| Nov 25, Wed |
GDP Growth Rate QoQ
Scheduled 08:30 AM ET
|
Economic Data Release | Level 5 | 15d |
| Nov 25, Wed |
Core PCE Price Index MoM
Scheduled 08:30 AM ET
|
Economic Data Release | Level 5 | 15d |
|
Nov 26, Thu
Closed |
Market Holiday - Market Closed
US stock markets closed for holiday
|
Holiday Proximity | Level 5 | 16d |
| Nov 27, Fri |
Black Friday (Day After Thanksgiving)
Bridge day with typically lower volume and participation. Many traders extend their holiday. Use caution with position sizing.
|
Holiday Proximity | Level 4 | 17d |
| Dec 01, Tue |
ISM Manufacturing PMI
Scheduled 10:00 AM ET
|
Economic Data Release | Level 5 | 21d |
| Dec 01, Tue |
JOLTS Job Openings
Scheduled 10:00 AM ET
|
Economic Data Release | Level 5 | 21d |
| Dec 03, Thu |
Durable Goods Orders MoM
Scheduled 08:30 AM ET
|
Economic Data Release | Level 4 | 23d |
| Dec 03, Thu |
ISM Services PMI
Scheduled 10:00 AM ET
|
Economic Data Release | Level 5 | 23d |
| Dec 04, Fri |
Nonfarm Payrolls
Scheduled 08:30 AM ET
|
Economic Data Release | Level 5 | 24d |
| Dec 04, Fri |
Unemployment Rate
Scheduled 08:30 AM ET
|
Economic Data Release | Level 4 | 24d |
| Dec 04, Fri |
U-Michigan Consumer Sentiment
Scheduled 10:00 AM ET
|
Economic Data Release | Level 4 | 24d |
| Dec 09, Wed |
Existing Home Sales MoM
Scheduled 10:00 AM ET
|
Economic Data Release | Level 4 | 29d |
| Dec 10, Thu |
CPI MoM
Scheduled 08:30 AM ET
|
Economic Data Release | Level 5 | 30d |