Macro Risk Indicator
Current Risk Level
0
Minimal Risk
Minimal Risk
50
Moderate
Moderate
100
Extreme Risk
Extreme Risk
Last updated: Sep 10, 2026
Risk Factor Breakdown
Earnings Seasons
Quarterly reporting periods
Quarterly reporting periods
2.4
US Market Holidays
VIX levels & sentiment
VIX levels & sentiment
0.0
Economic Data Releases
CPI, Jobs, GDP releases
CPI, Jobs, GDP releases
100.0
Federal Reserve (FOMC)
FOMC meetings & rate decisions
FOMC meetings & rate decisions
12.0
Market Volatility (VIX)
VIX levels & sentiment
VIX levels & sentiment
25.0
Trading Recommendation
⚡ MODERATE RISK: Trade with normal caution. Some volatility possible.
📉 Economic data day: Expect volatility at 8:30 AM ET around PCE, CPI, Jobs, GDP, and durable goods releases. Size down until after the print.
30-Day Risk History
Upcoming High-Impact Events (Next 30 Days)
| Date | Event | Type | Impact | Days Until |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, Thu |
PPI MoM
Scheduled 08:30 AM ET
|
Economic Data Release | Level 4 | TODAY |
| Sep 10, Thu |
Existing Home Sales MoM
Scheduled 10:00 AM ET
|
Economic Data Release | Level 4 | TODAY |
| Sep 11, Fri |
U-Michigan Consumer Sentiment
Scheduled 10:00 AM ET
|
Economic Data Release | Level 4 | Tomorrow |
| Sep 11, Fri |
CPI MoM
Scheduled 08:30 AM ET
|
Economic Data Release | Level 5 | Tomorrow |
| Sep 13, Sun |
CPI Report (Consumer Price Index)
Monthly CPI at 08:30 AM ET
|
Economic Data Release | Level 5 | 3d |
| Sep 14, Mon |
CPI Report (Consumer Price Index)
Monthly CPI at 08:30 AM ET
|
Economic Data Release | Level 5 | 4d |
| Sep 16, Wed |
Retail Sales MoM
Scheduled 08:30 AM ET
|
Economic Data Release | Level 4 | 6d |
| Sep 17, Thu |
FOMC Meeting & Rate Decision
Federal Open Market Committee meeting concludes. Interest rate decision and policy statement released at 2:00 PM ET. Press conference with Fed Chair typically follows.
|
Federal Reserve Events | Level 5 | 7d |
| Sep 24, Thu |
Core PCE Price Index MoM
Scheduled 08:30 AM ET
|
Economic Data Release | Level 5 | 14d |
| Sep 24, Thu |
GDP Growth Rate QoQ
Scheduled 08:30 AM ET
|
Economic Data Release | Level 5 | 14d |
| Sep 25, Fri |
Durable Goods Orders MoM
Scheduled 08:30 AM ET
|
Economic Data Release | Level 4 | 15d |
| Sep 25, Fri |
U-Michigan Consumer Sentiment
Scheduled 10:00 AM ET
|
Economic Data Release | Level 4 | 15d |
| Sep 29, Tue |
JOLTS Job Openings
Scheduled 10:00 AM ET
|
Economic Data Release | Level 5 | 19d |
| Sep 30, Wed |
Core PCE Price Index MoM
Scheduled 08:30 AM ET
|
Economic Data Release | Level 5 | 20d |
| Sep 30, Wed |
GDP Growth Rate QoQ
Scheduled 08:30 AM ET
|
Economic Data Release | Level 5 | 20d |
| Oct 01, Thu |
ISM Manufacturing PMI
Scheduled 10:00 AM ET
|
Economic Data Release | Level 5 | 21d |
| Oct 02, Fri |
Unemployment Rate
Scheduled 08:30 AM ET
|
Economic Data Release | Level 4 | 22d |
| Oct 02, Fri |
Nonfarm Payrolls
Scheduled 08:30 AM ET
|
Economic Data Release | Level 5 | 22d |
| Oct 05, Mon |
ISM Services PMI
Scheduled 10:00 AM ET
|
Economic Data Release | Level 5 | 25d |
| Oct 09, Fri |
U-Michigan Consumer Sentiment
Scheduled 10:00 AM ET
|
Economic Data Release | Level 4 | 29d |
| Oct 10, Sat |
Q3 Earnings Season Begins
Major earnings announcements expected. Increased volatility in individual stocks.
|
Earnings Season | Level 4 | 30d |