9:30 Bearish Orderflow, H12 Bearish Orderblock (Short), H6 Bullish Orderblock Failure, LIS Reversal, Lowerband Failure, M5 Bullish to Bearish Variation, M5 Entry Short, Overnight Bullish Orderflow, Upperband to Lowerband Short, Wk Bullish Trend Shift,

Key Takeaways from Today’s Trading Notes:

1. Late Start & Streak Broken:

   • You woke up late and missed key setups, resulting in the break of your 6-day green streak during this evaluation. Starting late disrupted your usual flow and mindset.

2. Market Bias Conflicts:

   • The market presented conflicting biases, making it difficult to align with a clear direction. You were waiting for an "easy money trade" off the VWAP bands, but market indecision caused confusion.
   • You observed a repetitive pattern of 9:30 short opportunities and end-of-day long opportunities with overnight moves higher. You are considering holding an overnight long trade, targeting a draw on liquidity around 19870 due to the weekly downtrend reversal and untapped liquidity on the weekly order block.

3. Missed Setup from Yesterday:

   • Yesterday’s setup hit your profit target before the 9:30 open, and you noted that this should have indicated that the price would likely come down, but you initially missed this clue.
   • You felt frustration about missing out on a potential 4R+ trade due to not being able to hold overnight positions.

4. Failed Easy Money Trade:

   • Your easy money trade and bullish line in the sand failed, suggesting a possible manipulation stop hunt.
   • You followed your rules by not executing a short trade because the 1-minute candle came just ticks away from the VWAP upper band, even though you accurately called the false break to the upside in the chatroom. This missed opportunity weighed heavily as the exact trade unfolded after you passed on it.

5. Choppy Price Action:

   • You faced frustrating and choppy price action around the lower band, with constant invalidation of signals. Both the first and second trades were stopped out, with one possibly being a stop hunt.
   • The second trade reversed right after hitting your stop-loss, reinforcing the idea of manipulation and adding to the mental frustration.

6. Contradictory Signals & Missed Alerts:

   • You struggled with contradictory signals, especially around the 1-minute demand level where price traded into the level but didn’t trigger your alert. This left you uncertain about the reliability of your signals.
   • You also identified an untapped demand area below the prior day’s low, leaving you concerned about whether price would sweep the longs out before potentially moving up.

7. Caution Regarding Overnight Trading:

   • Despite frustrations, you’re wary of overnight trading scenarios, fearing a nightmare where you trade throughout the night only for the setup not to play out.

Key Learnings and Adjustments:

• Stick to the Plan, but Be Open to Adjustments: The strict adherence to your VWAP level rules prevented you from taking what could have been a profitable short trade. While rules are important, consider incorporating flexibility for trades that come very close to key levels.

• Focus on Higher Timeframes for Direction: The choppy and confusing price action on the 1-minute chart could be resolved by focusing on higher timeframe setups, reducing the noise and uncertainty around micro-level decisions.

• Recognize Repeated Patterns: You’ve noticed a consistent market pattern (9:30 short followed by end-of-day longs), which is valuable for planning future trades. Keep this in mind for upcoming sessions.

• Frustration from Missed Opportunities: Missing out on potential 4R trades due to the inability to hold overnight positions added frustration. This might indicate a need to consider alternative strategies to participate in overnight moves without breaking rules.

• Manage Overnight Risk: Your concerns about taking overnight trades are valid, and it’s important to weigh the potential rewards against the risk of trading throughout the night with uncertain outcomes.

In summary, today's session highlighted the challenges of conflicting signals, the importance of flexibility within your system, and the need for greater clarity in your approach when the market is choppy. Keep refining your system to accommodate these nuances.

 

 

 

woke up late. And broke my 6 day green streak on this evaluation. 

The market was very conflicting between both biases on the day, so my approach for the trading session was that I was going to wait for an 'easy money trade' against the extremities on one of the first VWAP bands that were trades into. 

Also, my trade setup from yesterday, worked perfectly to my diesred profit target, which was hit before the 9:30 session opened, so because of this, of should have figured that price would come down instead of up. 

I also had a gut instinct that longs wouldnt work as well, because yesterday I didnt make much money on longs, because the trade was broken up between the prior eod of day session and the overnight trading session, and I cant hold trades overnight, so I had to only take profit at 1R multiple. Which is really annoying to me because I would have held the trade for a 4R + trade. 

But the market for the past 2 sessions is trading as a 9:30 short opportunity, with an end of day long opportunity, with a move higher in the overnight, so for this reason, Im thinking about taking an overnight long trade, to target the draw on liquidity higher which I believe is around 19870. And the only reason I think the market will go higher is because the weekly downtrend reversed in todays trading session, and there is still untapped liquidity on the weekly bearish orderblock to the upside, with buy side liquidity above it. 

My easy money trade failed, as well as my bullish line in the sand, 1 minute demand, which reversed. Which could have been a manipulation stop hunt. 

I also beloeve I would have caught the short on the trading session, but because the 1 minute candle literally came TICKS, away for the vwap upperband, I didnt execute on the trade, because my rules suggest that I have to wait for price to hit the level exactly and wait for a reaction or its invalidated, I literally called out in the chatroom for tanjas livestream that I was expected a false break to the upside, and that I was looking at a reaction at 19850n short. Well little do you know, that its the exact trade that took place on the session, and because I was ticks away from the upperband level. I never took the trade. And the only trade that was presented to me from that point was the lowerband extremity trade. 

And might I add, there was terrible price action around the lowerband. Constantly chopping above and below, signaling a trade, and then it becoming invalidated shortly after.

The first trade I took was a 1 minute variation close back above the lowerband, which also had displacement after a liquidity washout of the 6 hour bullish orderblock, and it failed. 

The second trade. I didnt put much weight on the Lowerband, because it was continuosuly giving false signals, and decided to just play the reaction off of the line in the sand. And it literally swept my stoploss, and then immediately went in my direction, without breaching that low for the duration of the trading session, this is what leads me to believe it could be a possible manipulation stophunt.

With that being said, I have a 1 minute demand level marked as my long level of interest, as well as, but it appears that price trades into the level, potentially sweeping the liquidity, YET, it never tiggered my alert. So I am getting so many contradicting signals its almost hard to dechipher anything. 

I have also Identified an untapped demand area beneath the prior days low, which is also scary to take longs still because Im unsure if it will trade into that level first and sweep all of the longs out of poisiton prior to potentially moving to the upside. 

The market it about to open, and Im just hoping this isnt a nightmare scenario where I am trading throughout the nighttime and overnight session for nothing. Hopefully it pays off.

2D DOL Lower, 8:30 DATA Reversal, 9:30 Open DOL Lower, 9:30 Open Short, Afterhours Open Short, Breakeven Trade, D DOL Lower, DIdnt Reach Profit Target, DOL Higher, LIS (Bearish), LIS Reversal, M30 Bearish Orderblock S, M5 FVG Short, NFP, Turtle Soup Long, Upperband to Lowerband Short, VWAP Upperband Target, Wk Bearish to Bullish Trend Shift,

1. Contradictory Market Bias

• You initially identified potential bullish follow-through based on several technical factors (e.g., untapped demand areas and bullish "Line in the Sand"). However, despite these indicators, the overnight session had a short setup, and the market didn't follow your expected bullish bias. This reveals a mismatch between your analysis and market behavior, suggesting the need to refine your directional bias.

2. Ignoring Higher Timeframe Gaps

• One major mistake occurred during the 9:30 session, where you entered based on a 1-minute fair value gap closure without waiting for confirmation from higher timeframes (5-minute and 15-minute). The higher timeframe gaps held more significance, indicating that your entries were premature and lacked multi-timeframe alignment.

3. Misjudging Supply and Demand Zones

• You noticed the absence of a 5-minute demand zone in the overnight session, which may have contributed to your failed bullish "Line in the Sand." Similarly, during the 9:30 session, you anticipated that the bearish line in the sand would fail because there was no 1-minute demand zone. This led to a wrong bias and influenced poor trade decisions, including an unnecessary long.

4. Failure to Adapt to Market Conditions

• After identifying the shift from a bullish to bearish "Line in the Sand" between the overnight and 9:30 sessions, you failed to adapt quickly enough, sticking to a bullish bias when the market was signaling bearish. In hindsight, your first stop-out could have been the perfect short entry, showing hesitation to flip your bias in real time.

5. Overconfidence in Low Timeframe Setups

• You focused on low-timeframe setups (1-minute fair value gap, 1-minute demand area) without giving enough weight to higher timeframes and market structure. This led to false confidence in trades that were ultimately stopped out due to the dominance of larger, more influential market patterns.

6. Overtrading & Emotional Reactions

• You took multiple losses during the overnight session and continued trading into the 9:30 session without reassessing market conditions thoroughly. The "easy money trade" you took off the VWAP lower band was another loss, showing a pattern of overtrading rather than waiting for optimal setups.

7. Self-Reflection & Adjustments

• You recognize that many of the mistakes are avoidable, such as failing to align with higher timeframes, entering trades without strong confirmations, and misjudging the strength of demand and supply zones. The overall takeaway is that you need to make significant adjustments and improvements to avoid repeating these mistakes.

Key Improvements to Focus On:

1. Align Entries with Higher Timeframes – Ensure that your 1-minute or short-term entries are confirmed by higher timeframe signals (5-minute, 15-minute).

2. Respect Market Structure – Be more adaptable when the market structure changes (e.g., when the Line in the Sand flips).

3. Avoid Premature Bias Shifts – Stick to your plan, but be open to flipping bias when valid signals present themselves.

4. Reduce Overtrading – Limit the number of trades and ensure each entry has a strong technical basis, especially when early trades result in losses.

5. Focus on Key Setups – Prioritize higher probability setups and resist taking "easy" trades based on emotional reactions or minor signals.

By improving these areas, you'll be able to make better decisions, minimize losses, and increase your consistency moving forward.

 

 

Adjustments for the Next Trading Session:

1. Align Entries with Higher Timeframes

   • Focus on higher timeframe confirmations (5-minute, 15-minute) before taking 1-minute setups. Make sure the broader market structure supports your trade idea before entering on a smaller timeframe.

2. Respect Market Structure

   • Adapt to market shifts more quickly. If you see a shift in the "Line in the Sand" or market behavior contradicts your initial bias, be prepared to pivot and adjust your strategy, even if it means reversing your directional bias.

3. Improve Demand and Supply Zone Analysis

   • Ensure you're analyzing demand and supply zones across multiple timeframes, particularly the higher timeframes (5-minute, 15-minute). Don’t rely solely on untapped zones in lower timeframes (e.g., 1-minute) without supporting evidence.

4. Wait for Clear Confirmation

   • Instead of jumping into trades based on lower timeframe signals, wait for clear confirmation. If you're trading a 1-minute fair value gap, make sure there's alignment with higher timeframe gaps or other key levels (e.g., 50% mean reversions on larger timeframes).

5. Limit Overtrading

   • Set a rule for yourself to limit the number of trades you take. Once you hit your daily risk limit or experience two losses, step back and reassess the market without rushing into more trades.

6. Trade Only the Best Setups

   • Focus on your highest probability setups. Define and stick to "A+ setups" like key trend reversals or clear support/resistance breaks. Avoid chasing trades that don't align with your trading plan.

Key Intention for the Next Trading Session:

"Patience and Confirmation Over Impulse"

Your key focus should be waiting for higher timeframe confirmation before entering a trade. Every time you feel the urge to trade based on a lower timeframe signal, stop and check whether higher timeframes (5-minute, 15-minute, or even H1/H4) align with your idea. This will help you avoid premature entries and impulsive trading decisions.

 

 

Not a good trading session for both the overnight and 9:30 open session.

In the overnight, when performing my technical analysis, I noticed a few things. 

- We didnt reach the Daily draw on liquidity lower, and we created a slight bullish trend candle formation on the daily chart.

- We still didnt tap into the liquidity higher from the daily bearish fair value gap to the 2 day orderblock, or any liquidity sweeps/runs higher into any 50% mean reversions on higher timeframes

- We had a bullish Line In The Sand at that time

- We had an untapped 1 minute demand area, indicating a potential hold of the lower levels

All of these indicators, suggested to me that we could get potential bullish follow through, because althought I thought overall that the market would see lower prices, I thought in general that the market would want to trade to higher prices first, (ideally around the 2 Day Bearish Orderblock) (After liquidity was swept) to take a sell signal for lower prices. But this didnt happen. It was an overnight short setup from the overnight opening print on the first bullish to bearish variation. Which currently stands as this trading sessions 'Trade Of The Day' setup. 

So how did I trade this?

Well, I took 2 losses attempting to trade the 1 minute untapped demand area, and also got caught in a 'bullish line in the sand' reversal. 

I then entered shortly after on a 'Bullish Turtle Soup' setup after the liquidity was swept. And this trade was going well for some time, until It failed to reach my overall profit target, and came back to take me out of the trade at breakeven.

Then, I woke up and decided to trade the 9:30 session, and there was a full thing I was noticing from the technicals.

- We flipped from an overnight bullish line in the sand, to a 9:30 session bearish line in the sand. 

( And a key observation that I noticed in the failure of the overnight line in the sand, from my estimation, was that it was lacking a 5 minute demand area. None existed, because the liquidity on all 5 minute demands were swept at that time)

Because I thought that because there was no 5 minute demand for the bullish line in the sand, I also noticed that there wasnt a 1 minute demand area that existed for the bearish line in the sand.

This influenced my bias, to believe that the bearish line in the sand would also fail, and that I should approach the 9:30 session with a bullish bias, to tap into more sell side liquidity, and look for an extremity or reversal trade after liquidity was swept. 

Well, this didnt happen, and the 30 minute bearish orderblock created off of the bearish line in the sand rejection in the premarket session, at was the high for the 9:30 session open. 

The 9:30 session trade that I took, was a 1 minute close above a 1 minute 50% fair value gap, which also aligned in confluence with a close above the 1st deviation moving average. But I didnt wait for the 5 minute 50% fair value gap closure, OR the 15 minute fair value gap closure. Which was clear dispacement lower from the open, with a failure to reverse where I entered long. SO its clear that the higher timeframe fair value gaps held more weight than the 1 minute fair value gap. 

Upon this loss, I took one more final trade on what I have journal as my 'easy money trade' which is a simple reaction at the upper or lower VWAP bands.

In this case, I took a lowerband long setup off of a 1 minute price action reaction (bearish to bullish variation) and took my second loss for the session.

In hindsight, My first stopout ( 1 minute fair value gap failure ) actually could have provided me a short entry trade of the day setup, had I just chose to sell rather than to buy. So I made many mistakes between the overnight and the 9:30 trading sessions. 

Overall, I need to make many adjustments to ensure that I solve all of these mistakes and issues. And dont bring it into the next trading week.